Bitcoin Cycles: Zvinokosha
Kutanga, zvakakosha kuziva kuti kunyangwe Bitcoin iri yakasarudzika mari yakasarudzika, ichiri kushanda yakavakirwa pamisimboti miviri yakakosha yehupfumi: kupa uye kudiwa. Zvakafanana nezvimwe zvinhu zvinotengeswa segoridhe, bhuruu-chip stocks, uye mabhondi ehurumende, kudzikiswa kwekupa kunowedzera kudiwa uye kunokwidza mitengo. Sezvineiwo, kuderera kwekuda kunotungamirira kukuwandisa uye kuderera kwekukosha. Misimboti iyi inoshanda sei kuBitcoin kutenderera?
Bitcoin kutenderera kunozivikanwa kuitika kamwechete pamakore mana. Kutenderera kwega kwega kunogona kukamurwa kuita nhanho ina dzakasiyana. Zvinobatsira kuongorora chikamu chimwe nechimwe usati wanyura mberi mune iyo pfungwa.
The Accumulation Phase: Iyi nhanho yekutanga yeBitcoin kutenderera inoona vatengesi vachitenga tokeni nemutengo wakaderera uye vachivabata vachitarisira kuuya kwenzombe kumhanya. Chaizvoizvo, vatengesi ava vanotarisana nekutenga nemitengo yakaderera uye kutengesa nepamusoro.
The Mark-Up Phase: Sezvo mamwe maBTC tokens anotengwa uye akaunganidzwa, mutengo wavo unotanga kukwira zvakanyanya. Ichi chikamu chinozivikanwa sechikamu chekumaka. Hukuru hwekuwedzera kwemutengo huchaenderana nezvinodiwa kubva kune vese varidzi vemasangano uye vatengesi vega. Vaongorori vanowanzobvumirana kuti chikamu ichi chinomiririra "peak" yechero Bitcoin kutenderera.
The Distribution Phase: Ichi chikamu chinogona kutsanangurwa se "kutengesa panguva chaiyo." Vagadziri vemari vakatenga BTC panguva yekuunganidza uye yekumaka-matanho vanowanzoona purofiti yakakura, zvichiita kuti vatengese. Somugumisiro, misika inoona kuwedzera kweBitcoin kupa, izvo zvinotungamirira kuderera kwekudiwa uye kuderera kwemutengo. Vamwe vanogona kutsanangura chikamu ichi se "kururamisa."
The Mark-Down Phase: Muchikamu chino chekupedzisira, musika unogadzirisa kutsika yekudzika kubva pachikamu chekugovera. Izvi zvinogona kutungamira kudonha kwakapinza uye kwakakosha mumitengo yeBitcoin. Nevatengi vashoma pamusika panguva ino, musika unogona kumira, nekufamba kushoma. Chiyero chekudzika-pasi chinogona kuenderera kwemwedzi yakati wandei kusvika chiyero chekudiwa chadzoserwa.
Chii chinonzi Bitcoin "Halving" Zvinorevei?
Tevere, isu tinofanirwa kugadzirisa chimwe chinhu chakakosha chinopesvedzera Bitcoin kutenderera: "pakati." Asi chii chaizvo chiri kuita hafu?
Bitcoin inoshanda pane yakasarudzika network, uye dijitari "ledger" track transaction. Kana izvi zvekutengeserana zvagadziriswa, zviratidzo zvitsva zvinogadzirwa. Iyi nzira inonzi Bitcoin mining. Mune dzidziso, iyo Bitcoin inopa yaizoramba ichikura mukuenderana nehuwandu hwematokeni matsva anogadzirwa kuburikidza nemugodhi.
Izvi zvinogona kukonzera kuwandisa uye, nekudaro, kudzikiswa kwakanyanya kwekukosha kweBitcoin. Kudzivirira mhedzisiro yakadai, Bitcoin yakaunza chiitiko chehafu.
Zviitiko zvehafu zvinoderedza Bitcoin migodhi mibairo ne50 muzana, iyo inoitika yega 210,000 zvidhinha. A "block" inoreva seti yeBitcoin transactions inoitika pane yakatsanangurwa nguva. Zviitiko zvehafu zvinoitika makore ese mana, nehafu yapfuura inoitika muna 2009, 2012, 2016, uye 2020.
Saka, chiitiko chehafu chinotevera ndechepi? Iyo hafu inotevera yakarongerwa Kubvumbi 26, 2024, izvo zvichaitika kana block 840,000 inogadzirwa.
Pakarepo Mushure meHalfing: Chii Chaunofanira Kutarisira?
Tichifunga manzwisisiro atinoita kuti hafu inobatana sei nekutenderera kweBitcoin kwemakore mana, zvine musoro kufunga kuti nguva inotungamira kusvika Kubvumbi 2024 haizopupurira chero shanduko huru yemutengo-tichifunga kuti hapana zvisingafanoonekwi zvekunze zvinoitika. Zvimwe zvezvinhu izvi zvinogona kusanganisira:
- Kupindira kwehurumende mu crypto sector
- Data yehupfumi isingatarisirwi kubva kunyika dzakati kana matunhu
- Mari yemumba inokwidzwa nemabhanga makuru
- Inflation
Kunze kwekunge izvi kana zvimwewo zvinhu zvamuka, vatengesi vazhinji vanogona kutora nzira yekumirira-uye-kuona, vachiziva kuti isu tiri muchikamu chekudzika-pasi uye kudiwa hakuna kusimba. Vamwe vanogona kubata zvinhu zvavo, vachifungidzira kuti mutengo weBitcoin uchakwira nekukurumidza mushure mechiitiko chehafu.
Impact yeBitcoin Cycles pane Dzimwe Cryptocurrencies
Kusvika ikozvino, takabata Bitcoin kutenderera seyakavharwa sisitimu, zvichiita kuti zvive nyore kunzwisisa mukati mesimba. Asi aya matenderedzwa anokanganisa mitengo yemamwe ma cryptocurrencies? Izvi zvinotisvitsa kune pfungwa ye "crypto correlation."
Crypto correlation inotsanangura kuti kufamba kwechiratidzo chimwe kunogona kukanganisa sei vamwe. Kazhinji kutaura, cryptocurrencies yakabatana zvakanaka, zvichireva kuti vanowanzotevedzera maitiro akafanana emitengo. Izvi hazvina kusiyana nezvimwe zvinhu zvinotengeswa, sesimbi dzinokosha. Kana mutengo wegoridhe uchikwira, mamwe masimbi akaita sesirivha, mhangura, uye palladium anowanzo kutevedzera.
Saka, nei kutenderera kweBitcoin kuchipesvedzera mamwe ma cryptocurrencies akadai seEthereum (ETH), Litecoin (LTC), uye Dogecoin (DOGE)? Chinokosha chekutora ndechekuti vatengesi vanowanzoshandisa Bitcoin kuyera manzwiro emusika. Positive Bitcoin mutengo wekufamba unoratidza maonero akasimba emusika, izvo zvinozoita kuti zvinhu zvakawanda zvekutenga zviitwe. Ichi ndicho chikonzero Bitcoin inowanzonzi "barometer" ye crypto ecosystem.
Cryptocurrencies Haina Kubatwa neBitcoin Mutengo Movements?
Panguva ino, vamwe vaverengi vanogona kunge vachinetseka kana paine chero ma tokens anoramba asina kukanganiswa nekushanduka kwemutengo weBitcoin. Pane chero mari yekristpto inogona kuita seruzhowa inopesana nematenderedzwa eBitcoin uye nekufamba kwemutengo wakajairwa?
Iwe unogona kushamisika kuziva kuti kubva kune anopfuura 5,000 cryptocurrencies, vashoma chete vanogona kuramba vakazvimiririra kubva kune general market manzwiro. Izvi zvinosanganisira:
- batanidzo
- atomu
- Tezos (XTZ)
Chii chinoita kuti zvinhu izvi zvive zvakasiyana? Kunyange pachine gakava pamusoro penyaya iyi, zvinowanzoitika nekuda kwekuratidzwa kwavo kushoma kana zvichienzaniswa nemidziyo yakasungirirwa kune akakura uye akasimbiswa blockchains.
Funga nezvayo semusiyano pakati pekuva nemasheya mukambani yakakura yepasi rose, yakatarisana nenjodzi dzakasiyana siyana dzemusika, uye kubata migove mudiki-cap IPO mukati me niche sector.
Kutarisira Mhedzisiro yeIchauya Halving Chiitiko
Kupeta, ngatitarisei mubvunzo wekupedzisira: Mutengo weBitcoin uchaita sei kune inotevera hafu chiitiko?
Nyanzvi zhinji dzeindasitiri dzine tarisiro pamusoro pemaonero enguva refu. Kuzivikanwa kweBitcoin kwakawedzera kubva kutenderera kwa2016-2020, uye kunyangwe vatengesi vemazuva ese vava kunzwisisa ma mechanics ayo. Izvi zvinhu zvinonongedzera kukuwandirwa kukuru kwevatengesi vanoshingaira panguva dzekutanga (kuunganidza) kwekutenderera kuri kuuya. Nekuderedzwa kwekupa uye kuwedzera kudiwa, pane kupokana kudiki kuti mitengo yeBitcoin ichapinda muchikamu cheBullish zvakare.
Zvisinei, zvakawanda zvinogona kuitika kubva zvino uye ipapo. Chimwe chinonetsa ndechekukwanisa kwemitemo yemusika yeramangwana neUS Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Kana mitemo yakadai ikaiswa, akawanda eUS-based crypto mapuratifomu anogona kutamira kunze kwenyika, zvingangokanganisa mutengo weBitcoin uye mamwe ma tokeni.
Zvakadaro, timu iri CryptoChipy icharamba ichipa inogadziridza nenguva uye fungidziro yemitengo kubatsira vaverengi kufamba kutenderera kweBitcoin kwemakore mana.
